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Mike O’Connor NFL 2016 Full Season Money-Back Guaranteed Package

NFL camps are open and the first Pre-Season game is upon us!  I’m really looking forward to this season and I’m confident enough to offer a money-back guarantee.

 

Who offers a straight-forward money-back guarantee on NFL plays?   Almost no one.  I think I’ve seen it once or twice in the 15 years that I’ve been involved in this business.  Why is that?  Most likely because other services don’t have the confidence in what they do or they refuse to put their money where their mouth is.

 

Planning on using another service this season?  Are they offering a money back-guarantee?  I highly doubt it.

 

FACT:  There is no better option for you this NFL season than a money-back guarantee with a service that has demonstrated a documented 56.5% win rate over the life of the service (ten years). 

 

Money-back guaranteed spots are limited and they are filling up fast so act now before it’s too late.  Here’s the deal:

 

The guaranteed NFL Full Season Package is $995.00 and will offer a money back guarantee and refund (for the cost of the subscription minus Paypal processing fees) if we don’t show a positive percentage of bankroll on my official plays by season’s end.  No questions asked.  This offer will have a hard cut-off and will be limited to the first 50 customers or until August 20th, whichever comes first.

 

All official plays (not Free Plays which won’t have a rating and won’t count in my record) will be rated as a percentage of bankroll and almost all plays will be suggested (to win) 3% plays.  We may have occasional 2% plays and rarely a 4% play.  So there is no confusion, plays will be graded using lines from 5 Dimes and Bookmaker. In the event these two differ, I will grade using the worse line of the two at send-out.

 

There will be no write-ups this season so I can spend all the time I can evaluating opportunities. Do you want your service spending all their time involved in marketing (doing write-ups) or evaluating opportunities to provide winners?

 

Another option is the NFL Full Season Early-Bird special of $445.00 (more than 40% discount) that will also run up until August 20th. The NFL Full Season package price will increase to $745.00 after that. The Early-Bird Package also includes every official play I release from Week 1 through the NFL Playoffs and the Super Bowl, just without the money-back guarantee.

 

Take advantage now!

Results That Speak For Themselves

 


Green_check10 Year Documented NFL Record:  384-296 for 56.5% winners

Independently documented by the National Sports Monitor (2006), The Sports Monitor (2007-2012), and Dr Bob Sports (2013-2015).  2006-2012 as Intellisports and then 2013-2015 as Mike O’Connor NFL.


 Green_checkAverage Return of +16.34% of Bankroll per season the past  ten years (NFL)

Nearly triples the performance of the Dow Jones Industrial Average (+5.64% per year) & S&P 500 (+6.09% per year) the past 10 years.


Green_check+ CLV (Closing Line Value)

Average of +.42 CLV on NFL plays all time

 


Green_checkNFL Only Specialist

The only sport I’m working on year-round is the NFL.  I’m not handicapping 200 or more games per week like other services that offer multiple sports.  I’m focused exclusively on the NFL.


Green_checkAdvanced Methodology

I combine predictive modeling, situational analysis and subjective factors to forecast winners.


Green_checkFully Transparent

One of the few services that has independently documented every play ever released.  All plays this season will be displayed shortly after kickoff, posted on Twitter, and graded against widely available lines.

Guaranteed and Early-Bird discounts expire August 20th.  Take advantage of this limited time offer by signing up now! 

Guaranteed 2016 NFL Full Season Package

With the changes I’ve made this off-season I’m confident that the 2016 NFL season is going to be a good one.  How confident?  So confident that for a limited time I’m guaranteeing it (with a money-back guarantee)! Here’s the deal:

2016 NFL Full Season Guaranteed Package:

The guaranteed NFL Full Season Package is $995.00 and will offer a money back guarantee (for the cost of the subscription minus Paypal processing fees) if we don’t show a positive percentage of bankroll on my official plays by season’s end.  This offer will have a hard cut-off and will be limited to the first 50 customers or until August 20th, whichever comes first.

All official plays (not Free Plays which won’t have a rating and won’t count in my record) will be rated as a percentage of bankroll and almost all plays will be suggested (to win) 3% plays.  We may have occasional 2% plays and rarely a 4% play.

So there is no confusion, plays will be graded using lines from 5 Dimes and Bookmaker. In the event these two differ, I will grade using the worse line of the two at send-out.

This package will include every official play I release all season from Week 1 through the playoffs and the Super Bowl.  Each week I’ll send an update as to where we stand in my Recap newsletter.

Take advantage now before it’s too late!

History:

I’ve had fourteen football seasons since I started Intellisports in 2006 (10 in the NFL and 4 in College Football).  Last season was my first ever season below .500.  I’ll say it again.  My first ever season below .500.  And you don’t have to take my word for it like many other services, as all of my plays have been independently documented.  It’s been a remarkable run – one that very, very few have been able to achieve.  Over that time period my College record (2006-2009) is 272-225 for 54.7% winners and my very worst CFB season I was 60-60 (documented at www.nationalsportsmonitor.com (2006) and www.thesportsmonitor.com 2007-2012).  So, in my history, including every play that I have ever released I am a documented 656-521 for 55.7% (combined NFL and CFB) for +224.9% of bankroll.  That’s an average of +22.5% of bankroll won per season.  While I’m not handicapping College Football this season, the reason I mention my College record as well is to point out that including every game that I have ever released in my history (over 1200 games), I’m over 55%.  There aren’t many services that can provide you a list of every play they’ve ever made long-term with a better than 55% win rate.  I have a history of consistent winning and with the changes I’m making this season, I’m looking forward to getting back to near or above my long-term average. 

Methodology

My NFL model, which performed very well for many years, tailed off in 2014 and then had a bad year in 2015.  As a result, I have taken time this off-season to develop several new predictive models which have tested well and I’m encouraged by their out of sample results.  One of my new models incorporates elements of DVOA (Defense-adjusted Value Over Average) to provide micro-level context and is based on the great work the folks at Football Outsiders have done.  DVOA measures a team’s efficiency by comparing success on every single play to a league average based on situation and opponent.  The other model is a re-engineered compensated stats model.  I’ll be using them both this season along with only the best situations out of the hundreds of NFL systems that are in my database.  The combination of new predictive models and strong technicals along with subjective factors, and without the encumbrance of the write-ups, should get me back near my historical average (@56%) after my first ever below .500 season last year.

My Yearly Documented Records:

2006: 40-22 (64.5%)nationalsportsmonitor
2007: 35-30 (53.8%) thesportsmonitor
2008: 46-29 (61.3%) thesportsmonitor
2009: 34-24 (58.6%) thesportsmonitor
2010: 54-40 (57.4%) thesportsmonitor
2011: 40-25 (61.5%) thesportsmonitor
2012: 37-29 (56.1%) thesportsmonitor
2013: 38-32 (54.3%) Dr. Bob Sports
2014: 30-30 (50.0%) Dr. Bob Sports
2015: 30-35 (46.2%) Dr. Bob Sports
Total: 384-296 (56.5%)

Since Inception (2006-2015)

Net +163.4% of bankroll in the NFL · Average Return of +16.34% of bankroll in the NFL per season the past ten years which nearly triples the performance of the Dow Jones Industrial Average (+5.64% per year), S&P 500 (+6.09% per year), and other major indexes over the same time period. With global financial instability right now sports investing in my opinion is one of the best investments you can make.